Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 0.93/0.28 0.97/0.48 0.99/0.12 0.97/0.14 0.87/0.39 0.96/0.05 1.00/0.16 1.00/0.09 0.99/0.22 0.89/0.07 1.00/0.00 0.99/0.21 OBS 3 0.93/0.31 0.95/0.87 0.98/0.20 0.97/0.14 0.89/0.49 0.92/0.07 0.97/0.41 0.96/0.37 0.97/0.42 0.97/0.04 0.94/0.12 0.96/0.31 OBS 4 0.89/0.37 0.95/0.88 0.97/0.22 0.96/0.18 0.80/0.51 0.94/0.06 0.97/0.42 0.96/0.37 0.97/0.42 0.89/0.08 0.94/0.12 0.94/0.33 CESM-HR-ENS 001 0.37/1.15 0.80/1.23 0.85/0.63 0.85/0.38 0.57/0.73 0.84/0.09 0.90/0.80 0.89/0.85 0.94/0.53 0.51/0.25 0.82/0.22 0.81/0.68 CESM-HR-ENS 002 0.27/1.15 0.66/1.52 0.82/0.51 0.76/0.39 0.57/0.86 0.82/0.10 0.86/0.96 0.85/1.19 0.92/0.70 0.44/0.24 0.81/0.23 0.75/0.74 CESM-HR-ENS 003 0.40/0.98 0.75/1.39 0.83/0.52 0.80/0.38 0.59/1.00 0.82/0.10 0.88/0.84 0.87/0.96 0.92/0.68 0.43/0.26 0.81/0.23 0.78/0.71 CESM-HR-ENS 004 0.42/1.01 0.71/1.44 0.74/0.60 0.78/0.47 0.57/0.81 0.86/0.09 0.85/1.01 0.86/1.08 0.92/0.70 0.53/0.26 0.81/0.23 0.77/0.73 CESM-HR-ENS 006 0.35/1.05 0.69/1.47 0.84/0.48 0.75/0.43 0.58/0.73 0.79/0.10 0.87/0.91 0.89/0.94 0.92/0.66 0.47/0.25 0.81/0.23 0.76/0.70 CESM-HR-ENS 007 0.36/1.15 0.76/1.31 0.80/0.57 0.76/0.41 0.53/1.08 0.85/0.09 0.84/1.08 0.89/1.00 0.93/0.62 0.47/0.28 0.81/0.23 0.77/0.76 CESM-HR-ENS 008 0.31/1.18 0.69/1.54 0.84/0.55 0.80/0.37 0.68/0.76 0.87/0.08 0.87/0.88 0.87/0.92 0.92/0.65 0.43/0.26 0.80/0.23 0.78/0.71 CESM-HR-ENS 009 0.26/1.26 0.62/1.58 0.83/0.48 0.75/0.52 0.47/0.90 0.81/0.10 0.86/0.96 0.85/1.08 0.90/0.75 0.46/0.28 0.80/0.23 0.74/0.78 CESM-HR-ENS 010 0.24/1.27 0.68/1.55 0.79/0.54 0.81/0.46 0.52/0.98 0.80/0.10 0.86/0.97 0.86/1.07 0.92/0.70 0.44/0.26 0.81/0.23 0.75/0.78 CESM-LR-LENS 001 0.45/1.21 0.78/1.54 0.91/0.57 0.90/0.64 0.36/0.88 0.86/0.09 0.85/1.03 0.87/0.86 0.90/0.69 0.67/0.26 0.75/0.23 0.80/0.78 CESM-LR-LENS 002 0.39/1.18 0.78/1.35 0.90/0.45 0.91/0.52 0.17/1.09 0.85/0.09 0.88/0.88 0.89/0.69 0.91/0.67 0.67/0.25 0.76/0.22 0.80/0.73 CESM-LR-LENS 003 0.44/1.32 0.75/1.72 0.92/0.64 0.89/0.64 0.37/0.88 0.86/0.10 0.84/1.01 0.86/0.92 0.93/0.60 0.68/0.26 0.76/0.23 0.80/0.81 CESM-LR-LENS 004 0.42/1.28 0.81/1.39 0.92/0.49 0.86/0.65 0.16/0.99 0.86/0.10 0.86/0.96 0.90/0.78 0.92/0.62 0.69/0.25 0.75/0.23 0.80/0.77 CESM-LR-LENS 005 0.50/1.17 0.79/1.53 0.91/0.63 0.89/0.56 0.35/0.83 0.85/0.11 0.85/0.97 0.87/0.90 0.92/0.63 0.72/0.26 0.75/0.23 0.81/0.76 CESM-LR-LENS 006 0.38/1.24 0.74/1.64 0.90/0.54 0.90/0.69 0.39/0.81 0.85/0.10 0.84/1.07 0.87/0.93 0.91/0.66 0.69/0.24 0.75/0.23 0.79/0.78 CESM-LR-LENS 007 0.49/1.03 0.79/1.34 0.86/0.57 0.89/0.57 0.44/0.92 0.86/0.10 0.90/0.86 0.86/0.88 0.90/0.69 0.70/0.26 0.76/0.22 0.80/0.74 CESM-LR-LENS 008 0.32/1.43 0.74/1.80 0.92/0.56 0.91/0.49 0.34/0.82 0.87/0.09 0.82/1.18 0.84/1.08 0.91/0.66 0.70/0.26 0.75/0.23 0.79/0.80 CESM-LR-LENS 009 0.39/1.41 0.80/1.49 0.91/0.62 0.88/0.56 0.21/0.93 0.86/0.09 0.84/1.04 0.89/0.86 0.91/0.65 0.69/0.23 0.75/0.23 0.80/0.79 CESM-LR-LENS 010 0.42/1.20 0.76/1.41 0.92/0.51 0.88/0.49 0.24/1.01 0.89/0.09 0.86/0.95 0.86/0.91 0.88/0.77 0.69/0.25 0.75/0.22 0.79/0.75 CESM-LR-LENS 011 0.39/1.20 0.79/1.33 0.90/0.48 0.91/0.53 0.52/0.71 0.83/0.10 0.88/0.88 0.89/0.75 0.89/0.71 0.67/0.24 0.75/0.23 0.81/0.70 CESM-LR-LENS 012 0.42/1.18 0.77/1.48 0.91/0.52 0.89/0.63 0.47/0.76 0.86/0.09 0.85/1.03 0.87/0.90 0.89/0.74 0.69/0.24 0.76/0.23 0.80/0.75 CESM-LR-LENS 013 0.42/1.17 0.77/1.50 0.91/0.43 0.91/0.41 0.64/0.65 0.87/0.09 0.87/0.93 0.86/0.88 0.91/0.64 0.69/0.23 0.76/0.22 0.82/0.68 CESM-LR-LENS 014 0.38/1.38 0.77/1.55 0.92/0.64 0.90/0.65 0.54/0.69 0.86/0.11 0.89/0.89 0.91/0.75 0.89/0.74 0.70/0.26 0.75/0.23 0.82/0.78 CESM-LR-LENS 015 0.42/1.26 0.78/1.48 0.91/0.53 0.89/0.51 0.35/0.85 0.85/0.09 0.86/0.97 0.90/0.77 0.93/0.60 0.70/0.25 0.75/0.23 0.81/0.73 CESM-LR-LENS 016 0.35/1.31 0.79/1.45 0.92/0.47 0.90/0.52 0.36/0.91 0.85/0.09 0.86/0.99 0.86/0.95 0.91/0.66 0.67/0.25 0.76/0.22 0.80/0.75 CESM-LR-LENS 017 0.42/1.30 0.75/1.70 0.92/0.63 0.88/0.71 0.25/1.00 0.84/0.11 0.85/0.99 0.86/0.84 0.90/0.68 0.69/0.27 0.75/0.23 0.79/0.83 CESM-LR-LENS 018 0.41/1.17 0.76/1.55 0.90/0.44 0.91/0.54 0.48/0.84 0.89/0.09 0.87/0.91 0.89/0.79 0.92/0.61 0.68/0.24 0.76/0.22 0.81/0.71 CESM-LR-LENS 019 0.49/1.08 0.74/1.78 0.92/0.64 0.90/0.57 0.50/0.81 0.87/0.10 0.85/0.98 0.88/0.87 0.90/0.68 0.69/0.25 0.74/0.24 0.81/0.76 CESM-LR-LENS 020 0.49/1.08 0.80/1.39 0.91/0.48 0.87/0.55 0.42/0.84 0.89/0.08 0.85/1.00 0.90/0.78 0.91/0.65 0.70/0.26 0.75/0.22 0.81/0.71 CESM-LR-LENS 021 0.36/1.18 0.70/1.65 0.92/0.52 0.90/0.47 0.41/0.82 0.87/0.08 0.88/0.90 0.86/0.89 0.89/0.71 0.70/0.25 0.75/0.23 0.80/0.73 CESM-LR-LENS 022 0.42/1.14 0.76/1.47 0.91/0.52 0.88/0.52 0.41/0.87 0.85/0.10 0.85/1.00 0.88/0.83 0.93/0.58 0.68/0.25 0.75/0.23 0.80/0.73 CESM-LR-LENS 023 0.44/1.05 0.81/1.31 0.91/0.51 0.91/0.47 0.53/0.70 0.86/0.09 0.88/0.84 0.87/0.76 0.93/0.59 0.66/0.24 0.76/0.22 0.82/0.67 CESM-LR-LENS 024 0.45/1.24 0.77/1.52 0.92/0.67 0.85/0.70 0.40/0.87 0.85/0.10 0.87/0.91 0.89/0.74 0.91/0.64 0.68/0.26 0.75/0.23 0.80/0.78 CESM-LR-LENS 025 0.41/1.24 0.72/1.59 0.92/0.55 0.91/0.55 0.31/0.91 0.85/0.10 0.83/1.10 0.88/0.82 0.90/0.71 0.67/0.25 0.75/0.23 0.79/0.77 CESM-LR-LENS 026 0.40/1.17 0.78/1.33 0.92/0.45 0.90/0.47 0.42/0.79 0.87/0.09 0.85/0.96 0.87/0.83 0.90/0.71 0.66/0.24 0.75/0.22 0.80/0.70 CESM-LR-LENS 027 0.41/1.22 0.79/1.51 0.90/0.60 0.90/0.50 0.42/0.78 0.84/0.09 0.85/0.96 0.91/0.66 0.91/0.67 0.68/0.23 0.75/0.23 0.80/0.72 CESM-LR-LENS 028 0.52/1.02 0.81/1.44 0.93/0.47 0.90/0.49 0.37/0.87 0.86/0.09 0.88/0.88 0.89/0.86 0.91/0.67 0.72/0.25 0.75/0.23 0.82/0.70 CESM-LR-LENS 029 0.36/1.32 0.79/1.35 0.91/0.53 0.92/0.57 0.45/0.79 0.88/0.09 0.87/0.91 0.90/0.69 0.91/0.69 0.69/0.26 0.75/0.23 0.81/0.73 CESM-LR-LENS 030 0.38/1.23 0.78/1.33 0.93/0.45 0.87/0.49 0.44/0.79 0.86/0.09 0.86/0.95 0.86/0.86 0.89/0.72 0.68/0.24 0.76/0.22 0.80/0.71 CESM-LR-LENS 031 0.36/1.32 0.78/1.48 0.89/0.59 0.90/0.53 0.46/0.88 0.87/0.09 0.87/0.97 0.86/1.00 0.91/0.67 0.70/0.24 0.74/0.23 0.80/0.77 CESM-LR-LENS 032 0.42/1.22 0.78/1.57 0.90/0.55 0.92/0.46 0.34/0.89 0.86/0.09 0.90/0.79 0.87/0.82 0.91/0.66 0.69/0.25 0.75/0.23 0.81/0.73 CESM-LR-LENS 033 0.40/1.19 0.74/1.64 0.92/0.43 0.89/0.48 0.56/0.69 0.88/0.08 0.90/0.87 0.87/0.87 0.91/0.65 0.68/0.24 0.75/0.23 0.81/0.70 CESM-LR-LENS 034 0.43/1.24 0.82/1.31 0.91/0.51 0.90/0.51 0.41/0.88 0.87/0.08 0.82/1.05 0.88/0.80 0.91/0.65 0.69/0.24 0.76/0.22 0.81/0.72 CESM-LR-LENS 035 0.50/1.11 0.83/1.27 0.92/0.51 0.90/0.46 0.47/0.78 0.87/0.09 0.86/0.92 0.91/0.77 0.91/0.66 0.69/0.26 0.75/0.23 0.82/0.69 CESM-LR-LENS 101 0.38/1.34 0.80/1.43 0.92/0.49 0.90/0.53 0.29/0.97 0.83/0.10 0.88/0.88 0.89/0.87 0.91/0.66 0.69/0.26 0.75/0.23 0.80/0.77 CESM-LR-LENS 102 0.43/1.23 0.78/1.59 0.93/0.59 0.91/0.57 0.48/0.80 0.87/0.09 0.83/1.11 0.88/0.82 0.89/0.72 0.71/0.26 0.75/0.23 0.81/0.77 CESM-LR-LENS 103 0.45/1.20 0.72/1.82 0.93/0.61 0.88/0.45 0.51/0.72 0.87/0.10 0.86/1.01 0.87/0.90 0.90/0.69 0.70/0.26 0.75/0.23 0.81/0.75 CESM-LR-LENS 104 0.42/1.22 0.76/1.64 0.92/0.52 0.92/0.62 0.34/0.92 0.86/0.10 0.82/1.17 0.83/1.06 0.90/0.68 0.68/0.27 0.75/0.24 0.79/0.81 CESM-LR-LENS 105 0.36/1.28 0.75/1.54 0.92/0.49 0.86/0.52 0.29/0.91 0.83/0.10 0.84/1.02 0.85/0.93 0.90/0.70 0.69/0.25 0.75/0.23 0.78/0.77