Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 0.93/0.30 1.00/0.03 0.99/0.11 0.98/0.12 0.86/0.51 0.96/0.05 1.00/0.02 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.00 0.93/0.06 1.00/0.00 ----/0.15 OBS 3 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.03 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.07 0.99/0.16 1.00/0.03 1.00/0.00 0.93/0.13 ----/0.04 OBS 4 0.93/0.30 1.00/0.03 0.99/0.11 0.98/0.12 0.86/0.51 0.96/0.05 1.00/0.07 0.99/0.16 1.00/0.03 0.93/0.06 0.93/0.13 0.99/0.18 CESM-HR-ENS 001 0.57/0.70 0.63/1.96 0.67/0.65 0.62/0.45 0.45/1.85 0.81/0.11 0.95/0.53 0.90/0.76 0.93/0.51 0.59/0.15 0.78/0.24 0.77/0.69 CESM-HR-ENS 002 0.46/0.77 0.82/1.50 0.65/0.61 0.53/0.55 0.18/1.71 0.65/0.13 0.82/1.22 0.90/1.13 0.92/0.55 0.55/0.14 0.77/0.24 0.71/0.75 CESM-HR-ENS 003 0.51/0.80 0.30/2.58 0.84/0.46 0.76/0.39 0.28/1.52 0.72/0.12 0.94/0.57 0.83/0.99 0.97/0.44 0.57/0.15 0.78/0.24 0.76/0.68 CESM-HR-ENS 004 0.53/0.83 0.53/2.19 0.58/0.69 0.72/0.43 0.26/1.45 0.81/0.11 0.83/0.95 0.90/0.91 0.88/0.68 0.69/0.15 0.77/0.25 0.72/0.72 CESM-HR-ENS 006 0.66/0.67 0.80/1.51 0.76/0.54 0.73/0.39 0.39/1.41 0.69/0.13 0.69/1.24 0.89/0.93 0.96/0.41 0.61/0.14 0.78/0.24 0.77/0.66 CESM-HR-ENS 007 0.56/0.78 0.76/1.66 0.77/0.52 0.54/0.51 0.41/1.34 0.68/0.14 0.90/0.83 0.89/0.77 0.96/0.44 0.58/0.16 0.78/0.24 0.76/0.67 CESM-HR-ENS 008 0.39/0.91 0.45/2.38 0.78/0.54 0.67/0.46 0.38/1.33 0.54/0.15 0.96/0.52 0.92/0.73 0.97/0.33 0.35/0.18 0.76/0.25 0.75/0.68 CESM-HR-ENS 009 0.41/1.04 0.62/2.03 0.56/0.65 0.46/0.54 0.25/1.39 0.58/0.14 0.92/0.81 0.90/1.17 0.94/0.50 0.45/0.18 0.77/0.24 0.70/0.77 CESM-HR-ENS 010 0.45/0.76 0.54/2.13 0.71/0.57 0.65/0.43 0.40/2.09 0.66/0.13 0.87/1.07 0.87/1.39 0.95/0.49 0.50/0.16 0.77/0.25 0.72/0.80 CESM-LR-LENS 001 0.61/0.96 0.83/1.61 0.86/0.63 0.75/0.70 0.20/1.36 0.76/0.14 0.90/0.82 0.87/0.81 0.92/0.56 0.68/0.16 0.73/0.24 0.78/0.72 CESM-LR-LENS 002 0.57/0.87 0.66/2.05 0.92/0.54 0.82/0.33 0.00/1.70 0.80/0.11 0.92/0.66 0.90/0.58 0.89/0.63 0.71/0.12 0.74/0.23 0.78/0.66 CESM-LR-LENS 003 0.53/0.92 0.67/1.96 0.88/0.63 0.79/0.47 0.23/1.48 0.79/0.12 0.85/1.04 0.83/0.96 0.92/0.58 0.71/0.13 0.74/0.23 0.76/0.72 CESM-LR-LENS 004 0.54/0.96 0.78/1.72 0.89/0.63 0.85/0.45 -0.02/1.80 0.82/0.12 0.84/1.00 0.89/0.84 0.96/0.40 0.71/0.15 0.74/0.23 0.79/0.73 CESM-LR-LENS 005 0.58/0.79 0.75/1.73 0.76/0.54 0.87/0.30 0.05/2.33 0.80/0.12 0.84/1.01 0.89/0.85 0.96/0.57 0.72/0.11 0.72/0.23 0.78/0.73 CESM-LR-LENS 006 0.45/1.10 0.68/2.31 0.89/0.81 0.84/0.43 0.37/2.04 0.66/0.15 0.74/1.33 0.88/1.01 0.92/0.58 0.69/0.15 0.74/0.23 0.76/0.86 CESM-LR-LENS 007 0.41/1.28 0.61/2.37 0.81/0.77 0.83/0.47 0.09/1.29 0.76/0.14 0.89/1.10 0.87/0.72 0.90/0.62 0.75/0.13 0.74/0.23 0.75/0.78 CESM-LR-LENS 008 0.41/1.34 0.68/2.36 0.89/0.61 0.82/0.43 0.40/1.15 0.83/0.11 0.89/0.76 0.91/0.70 0.94/0.47 0.74/0.13 0.75/0.23 0.80/0.70 CESM-LR-LENS 009 0.51/0.92 0.79/1.71 0.80/0.53 0.78/0.44 0.38/1.15 0.78/0.11 0.91/0.73 0.89/0.90 0.94/0.51 0.70/0.12 0.72/0.23 0.78/0.64 CESM-LR-LENS 010 0.61/0.80 0.78/1.68 0.87/0.46 0.85/0.42 0.05/1.72 0.85/0.11 0.88/0.83 0.89/0.84 0.93/0.51 0.75/0.13 0.74/0.23 0.80/0.67 CESM-LR-LENS 011 0.55/0.91 0.82/1.50 0.87/0.46 0.77/0.54 0.30/1.58 0.76/0.13 0.92/0.78 0.88/0.78 0.91/0.55 0.71/0.12 0.73/0.23 0.79/0.68 CESM-LR-LENS 012 0.50/1.20 0.74/1.89 0.90/0.83 0.84/0.59 -0.08/2.42 0.81/0.12 0.87/0.84 0.88/0.66 0.92/0.55 0.71/0.14 0.75/0.23 0.78/0.84 CESM-LR-LENS 013 0.64/0.70 0.86/1.36 0.82/0.50 0.63/0.49 0.56/1.17 0.83/0.11 0.90/0.72 0.91/0.67 0.95/0.47 0.74/0.11 0.75/0.22 0.81/0.58 CESM-LR-LENS 014 0.61/0.92 0.76/1.80 0.84/0.87 0.87/0.52 0.39/1.52 0.82/0.13 0.86/0.89 0.86/0.95 0.85/0.75 0.69/0.15 0.73/0.24 0.78/0.77 CESM-LR-LENS 015 0.53/0.96 0.77/1.70 0.89/0.69 0.84/0.51 0.36/1.88 0.81/0.11 0.90/0.77 0.91/0.76 0.97/0.52 0.74/0.12 0.74/0.23 0.82/0.72 CESM-LR-LENS 016 0.50/0.99 0.80/1.80 0.89/0.47 0.84/0.39 0.02/1.54 0.79/0.12 0.90/0.88 0.85/1.01 0.93/0.66 0.73/0.13 0.73/0.23 0.79/0.70 CESM-LR-LENS 017 0.53/1.12 0.79/1.74 0.88/0.65 0.85/0.60 0.20/1.83 0.75/0.13 0.86/0.88 0.90/0.76 0.86/0.71 0.69/0.17 0.74/0.24 0.77/0.79 CESM-LR-LENS 018 0.56/0.85 0.78/1.62 0.88/0.59 0.88/0.30 0.50/1.40 0.76/0.11 0.94/0.58 0.81/0.80 0.96/0.55 0.67/0.12 0.74/0.23 0.82/0.63 CESM-LR-LENS 019 0.52/0.97 0.83/1.61 0.89/0.78 0.85/0.53 0.18/2.03 0.84/0.12 0.85/1.03 0.90/0.88 0.92/0.61 0.74/0.13 0.72/0.24 0.80/0.79 CESM-LR-LENS 020 0.56/0.91 0.75/1.89 0.74/0.72 0.85/0.46 0.36/1.26 0.86/0.09 0.81/1.09 0.88/0.77 0.90/0.62 0.73/0.14 0.74/0.23 0.77/0.69 CESM-LR-LENS 021 0.46/1.05 0.72/1.85 0.89/0.56 0.73/0.50 0.11/1.55 0.64/0.14 0.81/0.97 0.91/0.86 0.89/0.61 0.72/0.11 0.74/0.23 0.75/0.73 CESM-LR-LENS 022 0.41/1.11 0.67/2.13 0.87/0.50 0.77/0.61 0.50/1.27 0.76/0.12 0.89/0.89 0.89/0.78 0.95/0.44 0.73/0.14 0.74/0.23 0.79/0.71 CESM-LR-LENS 023 0.54/0.91 0.73/1.75 0.82/0.56 0.89/0.36 0.08/1.38 0.79/0.11 0.91/0.69 0.84/0.75 0.93/0.52 0.70/0.13 0.76/0.22 0.78/0.64 CESM-LR-LENS 024 0.57/0.99 0.83/1.60 0.92/0.71 0.84/0.53 0.35/1.54 0.84/0.10 0.85/0.91 0.89/0.89 0.92/0.56 0.74/0.12 0.74/0.23 0.81/0.71 CESM-LR-LENS 025 0.61/0.81 0.76/1.64 0.84/0.60 0.89/0.37 0.14/1.54 0.65/0.15 0.81/1.11 0.89/0.82 0.93/0.57 0.72/0.12 0.74/0.23 0.77/0.70 CESM-LR-LENS 026 0.51/0.93 0.76/1.71 0.90/0.49 0.86/0.40 0.45/1.14 0.78/0.12 0.86/0.90 0.88/0.92 0.91/0.59 0.72/0.12 0.74/0.23 0.79/0.65 CESM-LR-LENS 027 0.49/1.17 0.74/1.88 0.84/0.57 0.76/0.54 0.45/1.86 0.80/0.11 0.89/0.76 0.92/0.55 0.89/0.62 0.69/0.12 0.74/0.23 0.78/0.74 CESM-LR-LENS 028 0.58/1.00 0.85/1.62 0.88/0.62 0.73/0.58 0.34/1.40 0.83/0.11 0.90/0.84 0.93/0.66 0.94/0.53 0.74/0.15 0.74/0.23 0.81/0.69 CESM-LR-LENS 029 0.56/0.85 0.74/1.81 0.83/0.60 0.83/0.44 0.47/1.13 0.82/0.11 0.90/0.73 0.92/0.60 0.92/0.56 0.70/0.13 0.74/0.23 0.80/0.62 CESM-LR-LENS 030 0.53/0.98 0.78/1.69 0.82/0.50 0.78/0.46 0.20/1.67 0.77/0.14 0.88/0.96 0.83/0.99 0.92/0.57 0.71/0.13 0.73/0.23 0.76/0.73 CESM-LR-LENS 031 0.43/1.25 0.57/2.26 0.84/0.62 0.73/0.53 0.16/2.08 0.84/0.10 0.87/0.93 0.87/0.96 0.94/0.48 0.71/0.13 0.74/0.23 0.76/0.81 CESM-LR-LENS 032 0.49/1.12 0.79/1.60 0.84/0.56 0.82/0.47 0.05/1.46 0.71/0.13 0.90/0.73 0.83/0.81 0.95/0.41 0.70/0.11 0.75/0.22 0.77/0.68 CESM-LR-LENS 033 0.53/0.99 0.81/1.65 0.91/0.90 0.86/0.53 0.25/1.54 0.78/0.13 0.91/1.00 0.92/0.87 0.91/0.59 0.73/0.14 0.74/0.23 0.81/0.76 CESM-LR-LENS 034 0.53/0.95 0.84/1.52 0.92/0.64 0.87/0.43 0.27/2.07 0.82/0.12 0.82/1.02 0.83/0.92 0.96/0.41 0.74/0.12 0.73/0.23 0.81/0.75 CESM-LR-LENS 035 0.43/1.06 0.52/2.47 0.83/0.48 0.79/0.47 0.31/1.50 0.80/0.11 0.88/0.79 0.85/0.86 0.91/0.57 0.73/0.12 0.73/0.23 0.75/0.71 CESM-LR-LENS 101 0.58/0.85 0.80/1.64 0.88/0.53 0.84/0.40 -0.01/2.59 0.71/0.14 0.79/1.17 0.91/0.83 0.94/0.57 0.73/0.13 0.74/0.23 0.78/0.79 CESM-LR-LENS 102 0.51/0.96 0.77/1.81 0.89/0.66 0.80/0.66 0.41/1.29 0.83/0.10 0.88/0.93 0.89/0.77 0.91/0.66 0.70/0.13 0.75/0.23 0.79/0.71 CESM-LR-LENS 103 0.47/0.90 0.67/1.99 0.85/0.42 0.81/0.38 0.30/1.09 0.72/0.13 0.93/0.68 0.80/0.89 0.90/0.65 0.73/0.11 0.74/0.23 0.76/0.63 CESM-LR-LENS 104 0.55/1.13 0.79/1.83 0.88/0.66 0.78/0.51 -0.20/1.87 0.81/0.13 0.92/0.68 0.89/0.76 0.90/0.64 0.71/0.14 0.73/0.24 0.78/0.76 CESM-LR-LENS 105 0.39/1.14 0.66/2.11 0.81/0.56 0.85/0.45 0.42/2.40 0.72/0.13 0.91/0.81 0.85/1.05 0.95/0.45 0.70/0.14 0.73/0.23 0.77/0.82