Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 0.93/0.28 0.97/0.48 0.99/0.12 0.97/0.14 0.87/0.39 0.96/0.05 1.00/0.16 1.00/0.09 0.99/0.22 0.89/0.07 1.00/0.00 0.99/0.21 OBS 3 0.93/0.31 0.95/0.87 0.98/0.20 0.97/0.14 0.89/0.49 0.92/0.07 0.97/0.41 0.96/0.37 0.97/0.42 0.97/0.04 0.94/0.12 0.96/0.31 OBS 4 0.89/0.37 0.95/0.88 0.97/0.22 0.96/0.18 0.80/0.51 0.94/0.06 0.97/0.42 0.96/0.37 0.97/0.42 0.89/0.08 0.94/0.12 0.94/0.33 CESM-HR-ENS 001 0.60/0.64 0.69/1.46 0.86/0.40 0.82/0.31 0.53/1.02 0.84/0.09 0.89/0.81 0.89/0.81 0.94/0.54 0.61/0.14 0.82/0.22 0.80/0.60 CESM-HR-ENS 002 0.54/0.68 0.70/1.47 0.71/0.51 0.71/0.38 0.41/1.08 0.82/0.10 0.87/0.91 0.88/0.99 0.94/0.60 0.61/0.13 0.81/0.22 0.77/0.66 CESM-HR-ENS 003 0.60/0.67 0.72/1.40 0.82/0.44 0.79/0.34 0.55/1.52 0.82/0.10 0.87/0.88 0.85/1.03 0.95/0.58 0.64/0.14 0.81/0.22 0.80/0.69 CESM-HR-ENS 004 0.59/0.68 0.57/1.68 0.73/0.59 0.76/0.42 0.53/1.27 0.86/0.09 0.87/0.90 0.88/1.01 0.93/0.64 0.69/0.13 0.81/0.22 0.78/0.71 CESM-HR-ENS 005 0.49/0.90 0.69/1.86 0.81/0.54 0.83/0.32 0.65/0.87 0.87/0.09 0.86/0.94 0.84/1.16 0.94/0.63 0.68/0.14 0.82/0.22 0.80/0.69 CESM-HR-ENS 006 0.69/0.56 0.83/1.21 0.73/0.51 0.71/0.38 0.51/1.11 0.81/0.10 0.88/0.90 0.89/1.02 0.95/0.55 0.61/0.13 0.81/0.22 0.80/0.64 CESM-HR-ENS 007 0.56/0.73 0.72/1.51 0.76/0.53 0.59/0.48 0.08/1.52 0.83/0.10 0.87/0.93 0.88/0.97 0.94/0.53 0.63/0.15 0.82/0.22 0.76/0.74 CESM-HR-ENS 008 0.44/0.87 0.62/1.77 0.72/0.54 0.77/0.35 0.59/1.10 0.86/0.09 0.86/0.90 0.83/1.06 0.94/0.55 0.59/0.14 0.81/0.23 0.77/0.69