Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM-HR-HIST (10%) 0.44/0.56 0.57/1.21 0.71/0.40 0.59/0.31 0.08/0.87 0.81/0.09 0.86/0.81 0.83/0.81 0.93/0.53 0.59/0.13 0.81/0.22 0.76/0.60 CESM-HR-HIST (Avg) 0.57/0.72 0.70/1.55 0.77/0.51 0.76/0.37 0.49/1.19 0.84/0.09 0.87/0.90 0.87/1.01 0.94/0.58 0.64/0.14 0.81/0.22 0.78/0.68 CESM-HR-HIST (90%) 0.60/0.87 0.72/1.77 0.82/0.54 0.82/0.42 0.59/1.52 0.86/0.10 0.88/0.93 0.89/1.06 0.95/0.63 0.68/0.14 0.82/0.22 0.80/0.71